{"id":6420,"date":"2026-10-14T21:39:10","date_gmt":"2026-10-15T00:39:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/canal8.info\/?p=6420"},"modified":"2026-10-14T21:39:10","modified_gmt":"2026-10-15T00:39:10","slug":"fiel-advierte-que-la-economia-creceria-menos-del-15-este-ano-y-habla-de-una-posible-recesion","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/canal8.info\/?p=6420","title":{"rendered":"FIEL advierte que la econom\u00eda crecer\u00eda menos del 1,5% este a\u00f1o y habla de una posible recesi\u00f3n"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>La Fundaci\u00f3n de Investigaciones Econ\u00f3micas Latinoamericanas (FIEL) volvi\u00f3 a bajar su estimaci\u00f3n de crecimiento para 2026 y plante\u00f3 que la expansi\u00f3n podr\u00eda quedar por debajo del 1,5%. La cifra est\u00e1 lejos del 3 al 5% que se proyectaba en la primera parte del a\u00f1o. Seg\u00fan el organismo, los datos del tercer trimestre indicar\u00edan un per\u00edodo de n\u00fameros muy d\u00e9biles, con alta probabilidad de una nueva variaci\u00f3n negativa del PBI desestacionalizado, algo que, por convenci\u00f3n, implicar\u00eda haber entrado en recesi\u00f3n.<\/p>\n<p>La correcci\u00f3n se suma a la que ya hab\u00edan marcado el Relevamiento de Expectativas de Mercado (REM) y el reciente informe del FMI, que redujeron las expectativas a la zona del 2,1%, desde un 3,5% previo. FIEL calcula adem\u00e1s que el crecimiento interanual del segundo semestre no superar\u00eda el 0,6%, frente al 2,3% del primer semestre.<\/p>\n<p>De cara a 2027, la entidad estim\u00f3 un crecimiento en torno al 2%, aunque aclar\u00f3 que depender\u00e1 del clima para la cosecha y de la volatilidad de los precios internacionales. Un escenario de actividad d\u00e9bil o en retroceso es una se\u00f1al de alerta para el empleo y los ingresos, y tambi\u00e9n para las econom\u00edas del interior como la salte\u00f1a, que dependen del pulso del consumo y la producci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c8ap-fuente\"><em>Con informaci\u00f3n de <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pagina12.com.ar\/2026\/10\/13\/crecimiento-menor-al-15\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">P\u00e1gina\/12<\/a>. Nota original: \u00abCrecimiento menor al 1,5%\u00bb. Imagen: P\u00e1gina\/12.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>La consultora recort\u00f3 otra vez su proyecci\u00f3n para 2026 y se\u00f1al\u00f3 que el tercer trimestre habr\u00eda sido muy d\u00e9bil, con probable ca\u00edda del PBI desestacionalizado.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6421,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"format":"standard","subtitle":"","override":[{"template":"1","parallax":"1","fullscreen":"1","layout":"no-sidebar","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"topbottom","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_share_counter":"1","show_view_counter":"1","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"1","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"1","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","post_calculate_word_method":"str_word_count","show_zoom_button":"1","zoom_button_out_step":"2","zoom_button_in_step":"3","show_prev_next_post":"1","show_comment_section":"1","number_popup_post":"2","show_author_box":"1","show_post_related":"1"}],"image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"crop-715","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-500"}],"trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","disable_ad":"0"},"jnews_primary_category":[],"jnews_override_bookmark_settings":{"override_bookmark_button":"0","override_show_bookmark_button":"0"},"jnews_social_meta":[],"jnews_paywall_metabox":{"paragraph_limit":"2","enable_premium_post":"0","enable_free_post":"0","override_paragraph_limit":"0","override_unlock_quota":"0","unlock_quota":"1","enable_preview_post":"0","enable_preview_video":"0"},"jnews_override_counter":{"view_counter_number":"0","share_counter_number":"0","like_counter_number":"0","dislike_counter_number":"0"},"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"{title}\r\n\r\n{excerpt}\r\n\r\n{url}","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"fullscreen","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"_wpas_customize_per_network":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[39],"tags":[289,721,220,412,606],"class_list":["post-6420","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-noticias","tag-economia","tag-fiel","tag-fmi","tag-pbi","tag-recesion"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"amp_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/canal8.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/GRRGGZBWGRRGCNJWHEZTKODDGA.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/canal8.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6420","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/canal8.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/canal8.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/canal8.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/canal8.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=6420"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/canal8.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6420\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6459,"href":"https:\/\/canal8.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6420\/revisions\/6459"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/canal8.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/6421"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/canal8.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=6420"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/canal8.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=6420"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/canal8.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=6420"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}